<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Ron Paul, Liberaltarians, and Cell&nbsp;Phones]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[
<p><a href="http://www.intheagora.com/archives/2007/06/ron_pauls_cell.html">Josh Claybourn</a> returns to the question of cell-phones, polls and Ron Paul&#8217;s campaign. They do affect pollling data, as Pew has demonstrated <a href="http://www.pollster.com/blogs/pews_keeter_how_serious_the_ce.php">here</a>, and certainly by enough to affect a primary election. Cell-phone-only voters are also markedly different than landline voters:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The National Health Interview Survey found them to be much younger, more likely to be African American or Hispanic, less likely to be married, and less likely to be a homeowner than adults with landline telephones&#8230;</p>
<p>According to the most recent government estimate, more than 25% of those under age 30 use only a cell phone. An analysis of young people ages 18-25 in one of the Pew polls found that the exclusion of the cell-only respondents resulted in significantly lower estimates of this age group&#8217;s approval of alcohol consumption and marijuana use. </p>
</blockquote>
<p>That makes intuitive sense to me. And it would mean a slight under-estimation of someone like Ron Paul&#8217;s support. </p>
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