<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[The GOP And The&nbsp;Latinos]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>Nate Silver has an exhaustive and <a href="http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2009/05/operation-gringo-can-republicans.html">exhausting post</a> on how Republicans could win the White House while losing further slices of the Latino vote. It&#39;s doable, but extremely hard. They have to hope for a double-dip recession and a divisive appeal to white voters. That&#39;s the kind of short-term idea that leads to long-term defeat (i.e. Karl Rove might love it). I didn&#39;t realize this:<span id="fullpost"></span></p><div class="blockquote" style="margin-left: 40px;"><span id="fullpost">In 2008, the Latino vote made the difference in the outcome of three states: New Mexico, where about 2 in 5 voters identify as Hispanic, as well as -- somewhat surprisingly -- Indiana and North Carolina -- where Obama lost nonhispanic voters by a tiny margin and was put over the top by Hispanic votes. It probably also made the difference, believe it or not, in the 2nd Congressional District of Nebraska -- Omaha actually has a decent-sized Hispanic minority -- although the exit polls aren&#39;t detailed enough to let us know for sure.</span><br /><span id="fullpost"></span><span id="fullpost"><br /></span></div><p><span id="fullpost">Nate&#39;s bottom line:</span><br /><span id="fullpost"></span>]]></html></oembed>