<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[How Do You Know We Are&nbsp;Winning?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p><img alt="IEDMassoudHossainiAFPGetty" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451c45669e2013488d0b5d7970c" src="http://andrewsullivan.readymadeweb.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/11/6a00d83451c45669e2013488d0b5d7970c-550wi.jpg" style="width: 515px;" title="IEDMassoudHossainiAFPGetty" /></p> <p>Alec Barker <a href="http://afpak.foreignpolicy.com/posts/2010/11/05/war_of_words_describing_success_in_southern_afghanistan" target="_self">catches</a>&#0160;news outlets&#0160;<a href="http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/2010/nov/02/afghanistan-taliban-improvised-explosive-devices" target="_self">twisting</a> British Army Major General Nick Carter&#39;s&#0160;claim&#0160;&quot;that security in [the Zhari district near Kandahar] has been demonstrably enhanced because the price of ammonium nitrate, a banned fertilizer and major component of improvised explosive devices (IEDs) in southern Afghanistan, has increased ten-fold, and the price of other bomb components has risen eleven-fold.&quot; Barker objects:</p> <blockquote> <p>[T]he story does not report that Carter believed these figures were &quot;by no means huge measures of success.&quot; The&#0160;<em>Guardian&#39;s</em>&#0160;version of the story, which has already crept into&#0160;<a href="http://www2.macleans.ca/category/need-to-know/?current=155881#post155881" target="_blank">other media reports</a>, might lead one to think erroneously that the general claimed a very significant accomplishment and made an unqualified statement of statistical fact throughout southern Afghanistan, rather than a limited observation about one district in the South. ...</p> <p>Since there generally are <a href="http://www.newamerica.net/publications/policy/improvised_explosive_devices" target="_blank">more and more bombs</a> appearing in the south over time, the insurgency appears to be insensitive to rapid swings in the price of fertilizer.</p> </blockquote>]]></html><thumbnail_url><![CDATA[https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2010/11/6a00d83451c45669e2013488d0b5d7970c-550wi.jpg?fit=440%2C330]]></thumbnail_url><thumbnail_width><![CDATA[440]]></thumbnail_width><thumbnail_height><![CDATA[293]]></thumbnail_height></oembed>