<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[An Arab 1848?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p><img alt="765px-Maerz1848_berlin" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451c45669e20147e2b93f96970b" src="http://andrewsullivan.readymadeweb.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/6a00d83451c45669e20147e2b93f96970b-550wi.jpg" style="width: 515px;" title="765px-Maerz1848_berlin" /></p> <p>For those not that versed in European history, Wiki has a <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1848" target="_self">useful summary</a> of what occurred that year. Talleyrand, whose record in interpreting events so far has been <a href="http://www.talleyrand.net/2011.02.06_arch.html#1297373987044" target="_self">not-so-great</a>, nonetheless <a href="http://www.talleyrand.net/2011.02.20_arch.html#1298302701949" target="_self">rightly notes</a> that such change is never linear and certainly wasn&#39;t all sweetness and light:</p> <blockquote> <p>Tunisia... Egypt... Bahrain... Iran... Libya... Yemen... Sudan...  Jordan... and even Morocco... Who knows there the mania will go next?  The street revolts in these places seemed initially to recall 1968. But  they are now looking more like 1848. Yet today there is no Marx to make  sense of them.</p> <p>Those who prefer 1848 to 1968 should take heed of the past. The response  to those revolutions was violent. They did not, amazingly, result in a  major war among any of Europe&#39;s major powers unless we consider (as Marx  might have done) 1914 to have been the logical outcome of the forces  they unleashed. In their own time, however, none, with the partial  exceptions of those in Denmark and Switzerland, resulted in the ideal,  liberal democracy they urged so passionately.</p> </blockquote>]]></html><thumbnail_url><![CDATA[https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2011/02/6a00d83451c45669e20147e2b93f96970b-550wi.jpg?fit=440%2C330]]></thumbnail_url><thumbnail_width><![CDATA[421]]></thumbnail_width><thumbnail_height><![CDATA[330]]></thumbnail_height></oembed>