<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[A No-Fly Zone Over Libya,&nbsp;Ctd]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[
<p>&#0160;John McCain and John  Kerry <a href="http://nationaljournal.com/nationalsecurity/mitch-mcconnell-john-kerry-john-mccain-mull-no-fly-zone-20110306" target="_self">want</a> one.&#0160;Joe Klein <a href="http://swampland.blogs.time.com/2011/03/07/go-slow-on-libya/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+timeblogs%2Fswampland+%28TIME%3A+Swampland%29&amp;utm_content=Google+Reader" target="_self">urges</a> caution:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The biggest  problem is that we have no idea whether the rebels in Libya are freedom  fighters at all. Some are, especially the English-speaking,  western-educated young people who are prime targets for visiting  journalists. But how relevant are they to the real power struggle? Who  are the non-English-speaking tribal elders? Are they democracy loving  freedom fighters&#8230;or just Qaddafis-in-waiting? It&#39;s a question to be  asked not only in Libya, but also in Egypt, Tunisia, Yemen and Bahrain.  One hopes for the best&#8211;especially in Egypt, where there are signs that  the Army is allowing at least a partial transition away from autocracy.  But who knows, really? Even Iraq&#39;s democracy is looking shaky these days  as Nouri al-Maliki seems intent on <a href="http://www.nytimes.com/2011/03/08/world/middleeast/08iraq.html?hp">consolidating his power.</a></p>
</blockquote>
<p>I do not doubt the sincerity and good intentions of those appalled by Qaddafi&#39;s brutality. Obviously, I share it. But this is where morality must address prudence if we are to make actual, real-life decisions in a fallen world. And if we haven&#39;t learned that these &quot;societies&quot; are beyond our understanding, that military intervention can bring unintended consequences, that democratic revolutions only have a chance if they emerge indigenously &#8230; then what have we learned?</p>
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