<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Democrats Own Anti-Terrorism, For&nbsp;Now]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[
<p><img alt="Education_Egan" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451c45669e201538e45b525970b" src="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/6a00d83451c45669e201538e45b525970b-550wi.png" style="width: 515px;" title="Education_Egan" /></p>
<p>Patrick Egan <a href="http://themonkeycage.org/2011/05/osama-bin-laden-and-public-opinion/?utm_source=feedburner&amp;utm_medium=feed&amp;utm_campaign=Feed%3A+themonkeycagefeed+%28The+Monkey+Cage%29" target="_self">expects</a> Democrats will temporarily become more trusted on terrorism:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>This is the kind of event that happens only every once in awhile: elites from both parties praise action taken on an issue by the party that does not “own” the issue.&#0160; What we’ve seen taking place after similar events in the past is a significant but only temporary dip in the reputation advantage held on the issue by the owning party.</p>
<p>As an illustration, consider the issue of education, where the parties’ issue reputations are in reverse.&#0160; Compiling poll results from the past two decades, I estimate the long-run advantage held by the Democrats on education (controlling for any concurrent general sentiment toward the two parties) to be about six percentage points on average.&#0160; As shown in the [above figure], the passage of Bush’s No Child Left Behind in 2001 (with the imprimatur of liberals like Ted Kennedy) caused a significant dip in the extent to which the public trusted the Democrats more than the Republicans to handle the education issue.&#0160;&#0160; But this change was temporary: by the end of Bush’s first term, the Democrats’ advantage was back to its equilibrium level.&#0160; That’s my best guess about what will happen with regard to the Republicans’ reputation advantage on terrorism in the wake of the killing of bin Laden.</p>
</blockquote>
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