<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Who Are Likely&nbsp;Voters?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[
<p>Sasha Issenberg&#0160;<a href="http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/victory_lab/2011/12/_likely_voters_lie_why_private_campaign_polls_get_such_different_results_from_public_media_polls_.single.html" target="_self">finds</a> that citizens are terrible at predicting whether they will vote or not:</p>
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<p>One possible reason that regular voters might consistently declare their lack of interest in voting, Aida and Rogers speculate, is “to convey disaffection toward the political process rather than a sincere lack of intention to vote.” The question of whether it’s better to include such people in a poll or just leave them out altogether remains open. “If I can’t trust them to be honest about whether they’re going to vote or not,” asks [Ayres McHenry, who is working for the Our Destiny super PAC backing Jon Huntsman], “how can I trust them on all the other questions I want to ask them?”</p>
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