<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[GDP Reax: It Could Have Been&nbsp;Worse]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p><img alt="GDP_1980" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451c45669e20168eace2bdf970c" src="http://andrewsullivan.readymadeweb.com/wp-content/uploads/2012/04/6a00d83451c45669e20168eace2bdf970c-550wi.jpg" style="width: 515px;" title="GDP_1980" /></p> <p>Ryan Avent <a href="http://www.economist.com/blogs/freeexchange/2012/04/americas-economy-2" target="_self">puts</a> today&#39;s report in context:</p> <blockquote> <p>Americans continue to hope for a real recovery. During the first three years after the 1981-82 recession, the economy grew above 3% in 11 of 12 quarters and at greater than 5% in 7 of 12. Eleven quarters into this recovery, the economy has managed 3% or better only four times and has yet to reach 4%. But America&#39;s underlying fundamentals look increasingly strong. A gridlocked Congress and an inflation-averse Federal Reserve may try to gum up the works. But this morning&#39;s disappointing number is by no means a reason for despair.</p> </blockquote> <p>Mark Perry <a href="http://mjperry.blogspot.com/2012/04/private-real-gdp-grew-at-34-in-first.html" target="_self">points out</a> that a decrease in government spending significantly lowered the GDP number:</p> <blockquote> <p>Perhaps today&#39;s GDP report is actually better than what is being reported, as the private sector of the U.S. economy grows at a rate slightly above the historical average, and twice the average rate since 2000. &#0160;</p> </blockquote> <p>Daniel Gross <a href="http://finance.yahoo.com/blogs/daniel-gross/first-quarter-gdp-growth-consumer-back-austerity-bites-131546331.html" target="_self">takes</a> a closer look at government spending:</p> <blockquote> <p>So in 2011, declines in government consumption sapped economic growth by .44 percentage points. But in the first quarter of 2012, contraction in the government sector took a bigger bite out of growth—subtracting .6 percentage points from the growth rate. And it&#39;s not because Republicans in Congress pushed through tough cuts in social spending. No, a decline in defense spending accounted for most of that reduction.</p> </blockquote> <p>Jared Bernstein&#39;s <a href="http://jaredbernsteinblog.com/gdp-first-look-were-at-trend-we-need-to-be-above-trend/" target="_self">quick take</a>:</p>]]></html><thumbnail_url><![CDATA[https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2012/04/6a00d83451c45669e20168eace2bdf970c-550wi.jpg?fit=440%2C330]]></thumbnail_url><thumbnail_width><![CDATA[440]]></thumbnail_width><thumbnail_height><![CDATA[291]]></thumbnail_height></oembed>