<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[What Can We Learn From&nbsp;Latvia?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[
<p> <img alt="Latvia_GDP_Comparison" class="asset  asset-image at-xid-6a00d83451c45669e2017c354e01ff970b" src="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/6a00d83451c45669e2017c354e01ff970b-550wi.png" style="width: 515px;" title="Latvia_GDP_Comparison" /></p>
<p><a class="asset-img-link" href="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/01/6a00d83451c45669e2017c354e01ff970b-800wi.png" onclick="window.open( this.href, &#39;_blank&#39;, &#39;width=640,height=480,scrollbars=no,resizable=no,toolbar=no,directories=no,location=no,menubar=no,status=no,left=0,top=0&#39; ); return false" style="display: inline;"></a>The Baltic state is sometimes touted as proof that austerity works. Derek Thompson, who provides the above&#0160;chart,&#0160;<a href="http://www.theatlantic.com/business/archive/2013/01/sorry-latvia-is-no-austerity-success-story/266774/">tackles</a>&#0160;the claim:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>First, Latvia had a massive bubble financed by massive foreign borrowing, with its current account deficit hitting a mind-blowing 22 percent of GDP in 2006-07 before the debt music stopped following Lehman&#39;s bankruptcy. And second, Latvia didn&#39;t do anything to cushion its subsequent crash. It didn&#39;t devalue its currency, and it didn&#39;t increase government spending. Instead, it kept its currency pegged to the euro, and actually gashed its budget. Now, it didn&#39;t have much of a choice when it came to austerity &#8212; that was the condition for its €7.5 billion IMF-led bailout &#8212; but it could have chosen depreciation over deflation. It did not.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>He goes on:</p>
<blockquote>
<p>The combination of tight money and tight budgets took Latvia&#39;s economy from &quot;calamity&quot; to &quot;historical calamity&quot;; its GDP fell by over 17 percent in 2009 alone. That&#39;s Great Depression territory.</p>
</blockquote>
<p>Yglesias <a href="http://www.slate.com/blogs/moneybox/2013/01/02/latvian_austerity_a_terrifying_success_story.html">chips in</a>&#0160;two cents.</p>
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