<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Reality Check]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png"><img data-attachment-id="183255" data-permalink="https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2013/07/29/reality-check-54/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la/" data-orig-file="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=574&#038;h=365" data-orig-size="574,365" data-comments-opened="0" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=574&#038;h=365?w=300" data-large-file="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=574&#038;h=365?w=574" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-183255" alt="jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la" src="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=574&#038;h=365" width="574" height="365" srcset="https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png 574w, https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=150&amp;h=95 150w, https://sullydish.files.wordpress.com/2013/07/jwowsa1ks020ehlt19i1la.png?w=300&amp;h=191 300w" sizes="(max-width: 574px) 100vw, 574px" /></a></p>
<p>New numbers from <a href="http://www.gallup.com/poll/163730/back-law-legalize-gay-marriage-states.aspx">Gallup</a> show marriage equality continuing to gain ground:</p>
<blockquote><p>Gallup used two separate approaches to measure public support for gay marriage this month, and they produced similar results: 52% would vote for a federal law legalizing same-sex marriages in all 50 states, and 54% think gay marriages should be recognized as valid, with the same rights as marriages between men and women. &#8230; [G]roups showing at least 60% support for legalizing same-sex marriage nationwide include Democrats, adults aged 18 to 34, those who rarely or never attend a church or other place of worship, moderates, Easterners, and Catholics.</p></blockquote>
<p>The new poll doesn&#8217;t change much on the generic question as to approval of marriage equality. But what&#8217;s truly striking to me is how a majority would be happy to extend marriage equality to <em>all fifty states.</em> If that trend continues, I can easily imagine Anthony Kennedy writing a Loving vs Virginia decision in a few years&#8217; time. I&#8217;ve always been a federalist on this, and remain so. But the public may be out-stripping even me now on this question.</p>
<p>And, of course, this is yet another crisis for the GOP.</p>
<p><!--tpmore --></p>
<p>Their core, white evangelical base is fanatically opposed to all things gay &#8211; let alone marriage equality &#8211; because their religious literalism and fundamentalism prevent them from exercizing any political pragmatism. So-called &#8220;conservatives&#8221; in the poll are opposed to marriage equality by 67 &#8211; 30 percent. The same number for &#8220;Republicans.&#8221; That akes the GOP base more reactionary than the South in general, which opposes marriage equality by 51 &#8211; 43 percent. The GOP is a fanatical minority within a minority.</p>
<p>And again, Catholics are at the forefront of the push for equality 60 &#8211; 36, defying the theocons and far more in tune with the new Pope than the old one. The moderates? They favor equality by 63 &#8211; 32 percent. They are people who once may have voted Republican. This issue is one reason they&#8217;ve switched sides.</p>
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