<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Does Global Warming Cause Extreme&nbsp;Weather?]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>Last week, John Vidal <a href="http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2013/nov/08/typhoon-haiyan-rich-ignore-climate-change">connected</a> super-typhoon Haiyan to global warming. A NASA climate scientist cuts through the spin:</p>
<p><span class="embed-youtube" style="text-align:center; display: block;"><iframe class='youtube-player' type='text/html' width='640' height='360' src='https://www.youtube.com/embed/SY6XSsF4CCo?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;fs=1&#038;autohide=2&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;wmode=transparent' allowfullscreen='true' style='border:0;'></iframe></span></p>
<p>Brad Plumer is <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/wonkblog/wp/2013/11/08/everything-you-need-to-know-about-super-typhoons/?wprss=rss_ezra-klein">on the same page</a>:</p>
<blockquote><p>Last year, three researchers at the University of Colorado and the Naval Research Laboratory did their best to reconstruct a worldwide database for hurricanes or typhoons that made landfalls between 1970 and 2010.</p>
<p>Their <a href="http://journals.ametsoc.org/doi/abs/10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00719.1">conclusion</a>? &#8220;The analysis does not indicate significant long-period global or individual basin trends in the frequency or intensity of landfalling [tropical cyclones] of minor or major hurricane strength.&#8221; &#8230; The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) <a href="http://www.climatechange2013.org/images/uploads/WGIAR5_WGI-12Doc2b_FinalDraft_Chapter02.pdf">came to a similar conclusion</a> in its recent report: As best anyone can tell, tropical storms aren&#8217;t getting any more or less frequent worldwide: &#8220;Current datasets indicate no significant observed trends in global tropical cyclone frequency over the past century and it remains uncertain whether any reported long-term increases in tropical cyclone frequency are robust.&#8221;</p>
<p>The IPCC adds that there <em>has</em> been an increase in intensity for the very strongest tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic since the 1970s, but it&#8217;s unclear what&#8217;s causing this. And there&#8217;s little data to indicate a change in cyclone intensity elsewhere in the world. It might be happening, but it&#8217;s difficult to detect as of yet.</p></blockquote>
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