<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[The Psychology Of Rock, Paper,&nbsp;Scissors]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<span class="embed-youtube" style="text-align:center; display: block;"><iframe class='youtube-player' type='text/html' width='640' height='360' src='https://www.youtube.com/embed/OMa1i3ITBbo?version=3&#038;rel=1&#038;fs=1&#038;autohide=2&#038;showsearch=0&#038;showinfo=1&#038;iv_load_policy=1&#038;wmode=transparent' allowfullscreen='true' style='border:0;'></iframe></span>
<p>A new study on the game <a href="http://www.technologyreview.com/view/527026/how-to-win-at-rock-paper-scissors/">has found</a> that &#8220;the strategy of real players looks random on average but actually consists of predictable patterns that a wily opponent could exploit to gain a vital edge&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>On average, the players in all the groups chose each action about a third of the time, which is exactly as expected if their choices were random. But a closer inspection of their behavior reveals something else. Zhijian [Wang] and co say that players who win tend to stick with the same action while those who lose switch to the next action in a clockwise direction (where R → P → S is clockwise). This is known in game theory as a conditional response and has never been observed before in Rock-Paper-Scissors experiments. Zhijian and co speculate that this is probably because previous experiments have all been done on a much smaller scale. &#8230; In fact, a “win-stay, lose-shift” strategy is entirely plausible from a psychological point of view: people tend to stick with a winning strategy.</p></blockquote>
<p>More Rock-Paper-Scissors tips, from a couple years ago, <a href="http://flowingdata.com/2010/07/30/how-to-win-rock-paper-scissors-every-time/">here</a>. Just don&#8217;t try them on <a href="http://dish.andrewsullivan.com/2012/06/29/why-david-the-android-will-always-beat-you-at-rock-paper-scissors/">this robot</a>.</p>
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