<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[The Dish]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://dish.andrewsullivan.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Andrew Sullivan]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://dish.andrewsullivan.com/author/sullydish/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[The Clock Is Ticking On Climate&nbsp;Change]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>Plumer <a href="http://www.vox.com/2014/9/11/6136605/chart-which-countries-are-decarbonizing-the-fastest">reads through</a> a recent PricewaterhouseCoopers report (<a href="http://www.pwc.co.uk/assets/pdf/low-carbon-economy-index-2014.pdf">pdf</a>), which calculated that &#8220;the world is steadily becoming less and less carbon-intensive.&#8221; That means &#8220;we need to burn fewer fossil fuels to generate a dollar’s worth of economic activity&#8221;:</p>
<blockquote><p>But here’s the bad news: Carbon intensity isn’t falling <i>fast enough</i>. Between 2000 and 2013, carbon intensity fell by 0.9 percent per year. Last year, it fell by 1.2 percent. But the global economy grew fast enough to overcome that, so <a href="http://www.vox.com/2014/9/9/6126245/carbon-dioxide-levels-in-the-atmosphere-rose-at-a-record-pace-in-2013" target="_blank">overall emissions rose</a>. If these trends continue, we’re on track for about 4°C of global warming in the future, which many scientists have deemed extremely dangerous.</p>
<p>By contrast, if the world wants to <b>a)</b> keep growing and <b>b)</b><a href="http://www.vox.com/2014/4/22/5551004/two-degrees" target="_blank">avoid more than 2°C of global warming</a> (which is the current international goal), then carbon intensity will have to decline much, much faster — by roughly 6.2 percent per year between now and 2050.</p></blockquote>
<p>James West <a href="http://www.motherjones.com/environment/2014/09/climate-change-pricewaterhouse">further unpacks</a> the report:<!--tpmore --></p>
<blockquote><p>Overall, PricewaterhouseCoopers paints a bleak picture of a world that&#8217;s rapidly running out of time; the required effort to curb global emissions will continue to grow each year. <span style="line-height:22.118398666382px;">&#8220;The timeline is also unforgiving. The [Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change] and others have estimated that global emissions will need to peak around 2020 to meet a 2°C [3.6 degrees F] budget,&#8221; the report says. &#8220;This means that emissions from the developed economies need to be consistently falling, and emissions from major developing countries will also have to start declining from 2020 onwards.&#8221; G20 nations, for example, will need to cut their annual energy-related emissions by one-third by 2030, and by just over half by 2050. The pressure will be on the world&#8217;s governments to come up with a solution to this enormous challenge at the much-anticipated climate talks in Paris next year.</span></p></blockquote>
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