<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Get The Picture]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://blutarsky.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Senator Blutarsky]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://blutarsky.wordpress.com/author/blutarsky/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Play like you&#8217;ve been there&nbsp;before.]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>As I&#8217;ll be in Athens for most of the day today, I&#8217;ve got quite a few games queued up on the DVR for watching over the holiday break.</p>
<p>One of those, for obvious reasons, is South Carolina&#8217;s home opener against Coastal Carolina.  With the heavy emphasis on intangibles for Georgia&#8217;s SEC opener in Columbia, it will be interesting to compare the mindset of both the &#8216;Cocks and the Dawgs today.  Who&#8217;s better prepared not to get caught looking forward to bigger fish to fry Saturday week?</p>
<p>As <a href="https://www.sbnation.com/college-football/2018/8/31/17792506/college-football-picks-week-1-notre-dame-michigan-florida-state-virginia-tech">Bud Elliott</a> puts it,</p>
<blockquote><p><strong>Coastal Carolina +29.5 (-105)</strong> at South Carolina: The Gamecocks were extremely lucky last season (6-1 in single-score games). This is an opportunity to bet against an inflated reputation from 2017. And South Carolina has a lookahead situation, with Georgia coming to town next week.</p></blockquote>
<p>Believe it or not, this has been an issue for South Carolina over the years.  Here&#8217;s a sample of that.</p>
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<p lang="en" dir="ltr">South Carolina is 0-3 ATS under Will Muschamp as 20-point favorites, all three games came before a matchup with Clemson or an SEC rival. Gamecocks have Georgia next week.</p>
<p>&mdash; Chris Fallica (@chrisfallica) <a href="https://twitter.com/chrisfallica/status/1035539321678442497?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw">August 31, 2018</a></p></blockquote>
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<p><a href="http://leftyloon.blogspot.com/2018/08/the-magnificent-seven-week-i.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Matt Melton</a> goes into greater detail.</p>
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<li>South Carolina&#8217;s largest margin of victory under Will Muschamp is <a href="https://www.sports-reference.com/cfb/boxscores/2017-10-07-south-carolina.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">26 points</a> (and that took three defensive touchdowns).</li>
<li>South Carolina has played three Group of Five teams at home under Will Muschamp. They have beaten those teams by five, six, and one point respectively.</li>
<li>South Carolina has a pretty big home game coming up on the Saturday after this one. I don&#8217;t know that the Chanticleers will have the Gamecocks full attention. I have a little bit of data to back that claim up. Since 2005, South Carolina has opened against a mid-major program with Georgia on-deck four times (2005, 2007, 2010, 2011). They won all four of those openers, but only covered once.</li>
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<p>None of this is to say we&#8217;re about to see an outright upset for the ages.  (Boom&#8217;s probably used up his quota <a href="http://www.espn.com/ncf/recap/_/id/333270057" target="_blank" rel="noopener">in that department</a>.)  But if this really is supposed to be a South Carolina team ready to step up to divisional contender status, then history shouldn&#8217;t be repeating in a game against a decided underdog.</p>
<p>Who does a better job of taking care of business today?</p>
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