<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Jason Collins blog]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[http://jasoncollins.blog]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[Jason Collins]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://jasoncollins.blog/author/jasonacollins/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Observations on happiness, biases and&nbsp;preferences]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>This year&#8217;s Australian Conference of Economists had a few behavioural/experimental economists among the invited speaker list. This post is a short record of some of the main things I took away from their presentations (which is not necessarily the focus of the presentation).</p>
<p>From <a href="http://www.parisschoolofeconomics.com/clark-andrew/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Andrew Clarke</a>: Ignore cross-country comparisons of happiness. The word happiness (or whatever term is intended to capture it) is ambiguous enough in survey questions without the added complications of language translations and cross-cultural interpretation.</p>
<p>From Glenn Harrison: Don&#8217;t rest on the work done by Kahneman and other behavioural psychology pioneers. Go out and test these biases to ensure that they hold up in incentivised environments. Don&#8217;t gives biases a name until they have a theoretical basis &#8211; otherwise we are giving too much weight to poorly tested and considered observations. Do decent, robust econometric analysis (some of the examples Harrison gave of work published in high-ranking journals was embarrassing).</p>
<p>From <a href="http://www2.warwick.ac.uk/fac/soc/economics/staff/academic/loomes/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Graham Loomes</a>: Considering preferences as probabilistic and not deterministic (that is, &#8220;I will choose the first alternative X per cent of the time&#8221;) can shed light on some observations such as preference reversals.</p>
<p>From <a href="http://www.uea.ac.uk/economics/people/All+People/Academic/rsugden" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Robert Sugden</a> (author of <a title="Spontaneous order" href="http://jasoncollins.blog/2013/01/spontaneous-order/">one of my favourite papers</a>): Behavioural economists have taken on every challenge thrown down by those who believe in rational choice. Almost every &#8220;rational&#8221; explanation for these biases has tested and they almost never explain the anomaly, even if they are partially &#8220;true&#8221;. For example, using the income effect to explain differences between willingness-to-pay and willingness-to-accept explains only a fraction of the observed disparity (this was more from a panel session than Sugden&#8217;s main presentation).</p>
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