<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[richard2496]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://richard2496.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[rkochers]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://richard2496.wordpress.com/author/rkochers/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Supply Chain Predictions]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<h1 class="fs-headline speakable-headline">4 Supply Chain Predictions For 2018</h1>
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<div class="contrib-info"><span class="fs-author-name contrib-byline-author speakable-author"><a href="https://www.forbes.com/sites/paulmartyn/">Paul Martyn </a></span><span class="comma">, </span><span class="contrib-byline-type"><span class="fs-text-s author-type">CONTRIBUTOR</span></span><span class="contrib-tagline fs-text-xs fs-responsive-text">I write about the supply chain industry.</span> <a class="full-bio fs-text-xs fs-responsive-text"> </a><small class="legal-disclaimer">Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own.</small></div>
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<p>With less than two weeks left until we ring in the New Year, it’s that time of year again — time to look ahead and predict what’s in store for 2018. I connected with a handful of trusted supply chain experts and here’s what they predict awaits the market in 2018.</p>
<p><img data-attachment-id="391" data-permalink="https://richard2496.wordpress.com/?p=391" data-orig-file="" data-orig-size="" data-comments-opened="0" data-image-meta="[]" data-image-title="Online Grocery" data-image-description="&lt;h1&gt;&lt;span style=&quot;font-size:x-large;&quot;&gt;Online grocery shopping boom as one in four shop from the sofa: Sales expected to hit £15bn by 2020 as customers turn away from the supermarkets&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/h1&gt;
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&lt;li class=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Figures predict 73 per cent increase in online shopping for groceries in just five years&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li class=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The UK is now expected to enter a new era where millions of Briton buy their groceries without ever visiting a supermarket&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li class=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;Amazon has signalled plans to get involved in home delivery of fresh food across the country &lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
&lt;li class=&quot;&quot;&gt;&lt;span&gt;&lt;strong&gt;The US web giant has already signed a deal with Morrisons to distribute fre&lt;/strong&gt;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/li&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Supermarkets face a new threat with figures predicting a 73 per cent increase in online shopping for groceries in just five years.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The idea of families spending their weekend trailing around a vast supermarket has already fallen out of favour with a switch to convenience stores.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;But, the UK is now expected to enter a new era where millions of Briton buy their groceries without ever visiting a supermarket.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Amazon has signalled plans to get involved in home delivery of fresh food across the country, which will speed the transition.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;The UK is now expected to enter a new era where millions of Briton buy their groceries without ever visiting a supermarket (file photo)&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The US web giant has already signed a deal with Morrisons to distribute fresh food.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;British consumers have embraced internet shopping more quickly than any other nation in the world. Average spending per head is greater than any other nation, including the Americans.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;A study by retail analysts Mintel suggests online grocery sales were £8.6billion last year. And it is predicting they will soar 73 per cent to reach £15billion by 2020.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;A Mintel survey found that almost half of shoppers – 43per cent – are doing some of their grocery shopping, typically heavy things like tins, washing powder and nappies, online.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;And almost one in four people – 23 per cent – say they are already doing most or all of their food and cleaning product purchases on the web.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The trend is clear with one in five of young adults aged 25-34 now doing all of their grocery shopping online.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Mintel said: &#8216;The days of heading to the supermarket are over for some Brits as they trade trolleys for home delivery.&#8217;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;The fact that people can shop for groceries from their sofa or even sitting in bed before going to sleep is a key attraction.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;People say it also helps them to budget more carefully because they are not wooed into making impulse purchases by offers and deals.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;It said: &#8216;The main reason consumers cite for shopping online more is convenience, with 60per cent of Brits who are shopping more online doing so because it is more convenient than visiting stores.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;img id=&quot;i-29ed3db7de6f7370&quot; class=&quot;blkBorder img-share&quot; src=&quot;https://images-blogger-opensocial.googleusercontent.com/gadgets/proxy?url=http%3A%2F%2Fi.dailymail.co.uk%2Fi%2Fpix%2F2016%2F04%2F13%2F23%2F0409F2C500000514-3538838-image-a-2_1460588202120.jpg&amp;amp;container=blogger&amp;amp;gadget=a&amp;amp;rewriteMime=image%2F*&quot; alt=&quot;&#039;The days of heading to the supermarket are over for some Brits as they trade trolleys for home delivery,&#039; said retail analysts Mintel (file photo)&quot; width=&quot;634&quot; height=&quot;423&quot; /&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&#8216;The days of heading to the supermarket are over for some Brits as they trade trolleys for home delivery,&#8217; said retail analysts Mintel (file photo)&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&#8216;This is followed by the fact that online shopping allows consumers to keep better track of how much they&#8217;re spending and the wider variety of delivery slots available.&#8217;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Retail analyst at Mintel, Nick Carroll, said: &#8216;The online grocery market continues to grow in double digits, but remains small in the context of the wider grocery market.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&#8216;However, the shift away from superstores to more convenient shopping channels is certainly benefiting the market with the majority of consumers now doing some grocery shopping online and almost a third saying that they now shop online more than a year ago.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&#8216;The majority of online shoppers still mix online shopping with store-based shopping, but consumers are becoming increasingly comfortable shopping at online-only retailers with growth outpacing the total market.&#8217;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;However, Mintel found there are some irritations with online grocery shopping. Chief among them is that people lose control of buying fruit and vegetables and they may be landed with inferior produce that is close to its use by date.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;At the same time, some people are put off by delivery charges.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;One in ten people said they are shopping less online than a year ago. Of these, four in ten said it was because of a lack of control when choosing fresh food and one in four pointed to fees.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Some people who have used web grocers in the past have switched to cheap discount chains, which have very limited online sales services.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;Mr Carroll said web grocers need to tap into a demand for convenience, top-up shopping, rather than one big weekly shop.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&#8216;As we see Brits turning away from the main weekly shop and towards fluid, when-needed shopping, it is important for online grocery retailers to find a way to engage with these consumers,&#8217; he said.&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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&lt;p&gt;&lt;span&gt;&#8216;A wider proliferation of delivery passes may be one way in which retailers can do so as it makes more frequent online grocery shops viable.&#8217;&lt;/span&gt;&lt;/p&gt;
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<p class="wp-caption-text">2018 Predictions</p>
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<p><strong>Disruptive Technologies: Turning Talk into Action</strong></p>
<p>All the talk is about to end.  The dots between data intelligence and real action will finally be connected in meaningful ways. “The supply chain industry has been talking about using disruptive data-driven technology, including machine learning, artificial intelligence and IoT for years. In 2018, we expect to see that talk turn more concretely to action,” says Jon T. Lindekugel, senior vice president, <a href="https://www.3m.com/3M/en_US/company-us/about-3m/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">3M</a> Supply Chain.</p>
<p>The head of one of the world’s largest supply chains, Lindekugel predicts that “leaders will leverage these technologies to disruptively advance nearly every supply chain function from the factory floor to store shelves. The payoff will be a renewed focus on customer satisfaction, and improved efficiency, transparency and sustainability results.”</p>
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<p><strong>New Additions to the SCM Agenda: W</strong><strong>orker </strong><strong>Safety and Reputation Risk </strong></p>
<p>Following yet another year of valuation- and brand-damaging incidents that happened deep within the value chain, the Global 500 will rethink how they approach supply chain risk and elevate the importance of sustainability, CSR and worker safety, according to Pierre-Francois Thaler, co-founder and co-CEO of <a href="http://www.ecovadis.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">EcoVadis</a>, a provider of supplier sustainability and risk ratings for global supply chains.</p>
<p>“Mitigating traditional supply chain risks, including disruptions and financial uncertainty, will remain on the executive agenda, but this mandate will place a distant second to preventing reputational and brand damage caused by poor supplier practices.” Thaler continued: “Our world is more connected and social than ever. Today’s environment puts a laser focus on not just your own actions, but on the behavior and practices of the suppliers you engage to do business on your behalf.”</p>
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<p>Throughout all of 2017 there were numerous front-page incidents ranging from slavery and forced labor, to harassment, worker safety and the environment. “In 2018, supply chain leaders will invest to go deeper into their value chains, working to ensure that they have strong transparency and connectivity with their secondary and tertiary suppliers, if not beyond. This includes everything from the impact on the environment, to how global organizations and their suppliers treat employees,” said Thaler.</p>
<p><strong>Transparency and sustainability will Shape Consumer Demand</strong></p>
<p>Sue Welch, CEO, <a href="http://www.bamboorose.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">Bamboo Rose</a>, expanded on Thaler’s thoughts predicting that transparency and sustainability will be practiced with more vigor in 2018. “There’s been an explosion of demand from consumers to know where their products are originating and the required information is extremely granular. For example, with a package of carrots, consumers want to know not only the farm where they were harvested, but also the row and lot number where the carrots were planted.”</p>
<p>Welch, whose company, Bamboo Rose, works with a number of top retailers and apparel companies, expects traceability demands to not only shape how consumers buy, but how companies will source and market their services.</p>
<p>“In 2018, these kinds of demands will permeate other areas of retail, including apparel, hardlines and more. Retail labels will include information as detailed as origin. For example, where was the cotton for a garment grown? What chemicals were used in the farming and production phases? Smart retailers will begin to market their products from an information/sustainability-first standpoint and to be credible about it, they’ll need to invest in integrating technology that makes this level of transparency possible at every level of the supply chain.”</p>
<p>That last point – “to be credible” – resonates with EcoVadis’ Thaler as well. For him, it’s a trust and accountability issue. “Self-reporting on sustainability won’t be enough. Over the past few years, we’ve seen company after company ‘greenwash’ their products and services by sticking a label on it and calling themselves sustainable. This approach creates significant risk, as consumers demand accountability and transparency and anyone that tries to manipulate the market with unverified, surface-level promises risks losing consumer confidence and the backlash that comes with it. On the other hand, we’ll see the companies that are driving real sustainability improvements put more emphasis on marketing their gains, leading to more sales and better retention.”</p>
<p><strong>Intelligence will T</strong><strong>rump data</strong></p>
<p>Nearly every expert I interviewed spoke about taking the next step with big data. Organizations have been collecting them for years, and in 2018 the applications will become smarter, if not more practical.</p>
<p>&#8220;In 2018, intelligence and insight will substantially change the way supply chains are managed, moving them from reactive to responsive at last. This breakthrough will come in large part thanks to further automation of data gathering and their analysis made possible by advances in software-driven equipment. With the ability to collect information about both supply and demand, these smart machines will accelerate the ability of supply chains to move more quickly, accurately and frequently,&#8221; predicted Jim Lawton, chief operating officer at <a href="http://www.rethinkrobotics.com/" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener">Rethink Robotics</a>.</p>
<p>3M’s Lindekugel also expects organizations to more effectively leverage data and go beyond surface-level predictions and decisions. “In 2018, we will see a dramatic increase in the number of large supply chains harnessing the power of big data analytics to more effectively predict and fill customer demand,” said Lindenkugel.</p>
<p>Obviously, predictions about putting all these data into use would seem like safe bets. Nevertheless, I found it interesting, if not refreshing, to hear experts uniformly confirm that it’s time to cash some checks. Big data, predictive analytics, intelligent agents, machine learning, AI, IoT, making SCM practices risk aware, etc.; wouldn’t it be a nice to hear how these investments actually delivered?</p>
<p>That’s where I land. I agree with the general premise that 2018 should be a year of action. And I agree that minding a high integrity shop and being able to prove it on a continuous basis is going to become a competitive requisite. Let’s face it, supply chain practitioners and marketing must find ways to sync their energies —not only to make sure that truth is better than fiction, but to demonstrate long awaited returns on data-driven technology investments.</p>
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