NSIDC shows a totally different story :

http://nsidc.org/images/arcticseaicenews/20100804_Figure4.png

By spring 2011, we should see a large increase in multi-year ice. The remaining blue ice in the map above will become green multi-year ice. The only things which could prevent this now would be an asteroid impact or strong winds which blow the ice out into the North Atlantic over the winter.