<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Real Science]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[stevengoddard]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/author/stevengoddard/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Mann&#8217;s Conference Debunks The Hockey&nbsp;Stick]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>There has been a lot of discussion overnight about the <a href="http://wattsupwiththat.com/2010/10/22/mike-manns-secret-meeting-on-the-medieval-warm-period/">MWP meeting last month in Lisbon</a>. The symposium web site has the graph below on their <a href="http://mwplisbon2010.fc.ul.pt/">front page</a>, which is a composite of temperature reconstructions and modeled temperatures.</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="5320" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2010/10/23/manns-conference-debunks-the-hockey-stick/capture-218/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg" data-orig-size="595,366" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;Tony&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;1287812801&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="Capture" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg?w=595" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-5320" title="Capture" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg?w=595&#038;h=366" alt="" width="595" height="366" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg 595w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg?w=150&amp;h=92 150w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/capture177.jpg?w=300&amp;h=185 300w" sizes="(max-width: 595px) 100vw, 595px" /></a></p>
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<p>I noticed that if you looked only at the temperature reconstructions, there is a Medieval Warm Period (MWP) and no hockey stick.</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="5321" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2010/10/23/manns-conference-debunks-the-hockey-stick/animationimage3307/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg" data-orig-size="720,486" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="AnimationImage3307" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=720" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-5321" title="AnimationImage3307" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=561&#038;h=378" alt="" width="561" height="378" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=561&amp;h=378 561w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=150&amp;h=101 150w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg?w=300&amp;h=203 300w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3307.jpg 720w" sizes="(max-width: 561px) 100vw, 561px" /></a></p>
<p>Below is the IPCC&#8217;s hockey stick overlaid and normalised for the baseline, with &#8220;Mike&#8217;s nature trick&#8221; <span style="text-decoration:line-through;"> </span>removed.</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="5322" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2010/10/23/manns-conference-debunks-the-hockey-stick/animationimage3314/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg" data-orig-size="720,486" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="AnimationImage3314" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=720" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-5322" title="AnimationImage3314" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=640&#038;h=432" alt="" width="640" height="432" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=640&amp;h=432 640w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=150&amp;h=101 150w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg?w=300&amp;h=203 300w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/animationimage3314.jpg 720w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></a></p>
<p>What becomes clear is that the warming since 1800 is nothing unusual and is nearly identical to the warming prior to the year 1000.</p>
<p>I don&#8217;t understand how any scientist could look at this data objectively and see a hockey stick. It just isn&#8217;t there.</p>
<p>Below are versions of the graph with progressively higher overlap thresholds &#8211; 10%, 20%, 30%, 40%, 50%. Regardless of confidence interval chosen, there is no hockey stick.</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/hockeystick2.gif"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="5335" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2010/10/23/manns-conference-debunks-the-hockey-stick/hockeystick-3/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/hockeystick2.gif" data-orig-size="500,338" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="HockeyStick" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/hockeystick2.gif?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/hockeystick2.gif?w=500" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-5335" title="HockeyStick" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2010/10/hockeystick2.gif?w=500&#038;h=338" alt="" width="500" height="338" /></a></p>
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