<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Real Science]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[stevengoddard]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/author/stevengoddard/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Tom&#8217;s TOBS Nature&nbsp;Trick]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>In Menne at al 2009, they claim that the TOBS adjustments in USHCN2 are the same as in USHCN1.</p>
<p>Nice story but it isn&#8217;t true.</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="51881" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/08/07/toms-tobs-nature-trick/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg" data-orig-size="507,593" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.51" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg?w=256" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg?w=507" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-51881" title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.51" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg?w=507&#038;h=593" alt="" width="507" height="593" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg 507w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg?w=128&amp;h=150 128w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-51.jpg?w=256&amp;h=300 256w" sizes="(max-width: 507px) 100vw, 507px" /></a></p>
<p><a href="ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2/monthly/menne-etal2009.pdf">ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/v2/monthly/menne-etal2009.pdf</a></p>
<p>Note in the graph above that the TOBS adjustment continues to rise from 1990 to the present. In the USHCN1 version, TOBS flattened after 1990</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="51882" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/08/07/toms-tobs-nature-trick/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg" data-orig-size="701,500" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.56" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=701" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-51882" style="border:1px solid black;" title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.56" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=640&#038;h=456" alt="" width="640" height="456" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=640&amp;h=456 640w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=150&amp;h=107 150w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg?w=300&amp;h=214 300w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-56.jpg 701w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></a></p>
<p><a href="http://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/img/climate/research/ushcn/ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_pg.gif">ts.ushcn_anom25_diffs_pg.gif (650×502)</a></p>
<p>The next graph overlays the most recent TOBS adjustments (blue) on the USHCN 1 graph</p>
<p><a href="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="51884" data-permalink="https://stevengoddard.wordpress.com/2012/08/07/toms-tobs-nature-trick/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59/" data-orig-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg" data-orig-size="898,634" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.59" data-image-description="" data-medium-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=898" class="alignnone  wp-image-51884" style="border:1px solid black;" title="ScreenHunter_152 Aug. 06 23.59" src="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=640&#038;h=451" alt="" width="640" height="451" srcset="https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=640&amp;h=451 640w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=150&amp;h=106 150w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=300&amp;h=212 300w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg?w=768&amp;h=542 768w, https://stevengoddard.files.wordpress.com/2012/08/screenhunter_152-aug-06-23-59.jpg 898w" sizes="(max-width: 640px) 100vw, 640px" /></a></p>
<p>As you can see, they have added an extra 0.2 F (60%) on to the TOBS adjustment since USHCN 1.  The claims in Menne et al are incorrect.</p>
<p>The<a href="ftp://ftp.ncdc.noaa.gov/pub/data/ushcn/station.history.Z"> USHCN station history file</a> shows almost no changes to temperature observation times after 1990, so it seems quite likely that the USHCN2 post 1990 TOBS upwards adjustments are complete garbage &#8211; added on to bring the numbers up.</p>
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