www.ijis.iarc.uaf.edu/seaice/extent/plot.csv

It is possible that this will happen, because almost all of the remaining ice is thick (1-5 metres) and temperatures in about four days are forecast to get very cold across almost the entire ice pack. More likely it will come in second shortest after 2010.

1/12° Arctic Cap Nowcast/Forecast System (ACFNS)

It is worth remembering back to 2008, when Mark Serreze forecast an ice-free pole – because the ice was so thin. The core of the ice pack has thickened considerably since then.