<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Vancouver Real Estate Anecdote Archive]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://vreaa.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[vreaa]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://vreaa.wordpress.com/author/vreaa/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[The Third Fundamental: Total Housing Market Value to GDP &#8211; BC in the&nbsp;Stratosphere]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p><a href="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="8598" data-permalink="https://vreaa.wordpress.com/2011/05/07/the-third-fundamental-total-housing-market-value-to-gdp-bc-in-the-stratosphere/bc-total-re-value/" data-orig-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg" data-orig-size="1130,773" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="BC total RE value" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="" data-medium-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=1024" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-8598" title="BC total RE value" src="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=500&#038;h=342" alt="" width="500" height="342" srcset="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=500&amp;h=342 500w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=1000&amp;h=684 1000w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=150&amp;h=103 150w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=300&amp;h=205 300w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/bc-total-re-value.jpg?w=768&amp;h=525 768w" sizes="(max-width: 500px) 100vw, 500px" /></a></p>
<p style="text-align:center;"><a href="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg"><img loading="lazy" data-attachment-id="8597" data-permalink="https://vreaa.wordpress.com/2011/05/07/the-third-fundamental-total-housing-market-value-to-gdp-bc-in-the-stratosphere/housing-stock-to-gdp/" data-orig-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg" data-orig-size="429,210" data-comments-opened="1" data-image-meta="{&quot;aperture&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;credit&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;camera&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;caption&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;created_timestamp&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;copyright&quot;:&quot;&quot;,&quot;focal_length&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;iso&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;shutter_speed&quot;:&quot;0&quot;,&quot;title&quot;:&quot;&quot;}" data-image-title="housing stock to GDP" data-image-description="" data-image-caption="" data-medium-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg?w=300" data-large-file="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg?w=429" class="size-full wp-image-8597 aligncenter" title="housing stock to GDP" src="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg?w=429&#038;h=210" alt="" width="429" height="210" srcset="https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg 429w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg?w=150&amp;h=73 150w, https://vreaa.files.wordpress.com/2011/05/housing-stock-to-gdp.jpg?w=300&amp;h=147 300w" sizes="(max-width: 429px) 100vw, 429px" /></a></p>
<p><strong>BC Housing Stock value: &gt;$1 Trillion [actually, $1,043,127,129,141]<br />
BC GDP: $191 Billion [2009]<br />
Ratio: 5.46 to 1</strong><br />
sources: <a href="http://www.bcassessment.bc.ca/2011%20Assessment%20Roll%20Information/Assessment%20Roll%20total%20value.pdf">2011 BC Property Assessment Notice,</a> <a href="http://nfbpsh.blogspot.com/2011/05/australias-housing-oversupply.html">nfbpsh.blogspot.com 1 May 2011</a>, and <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/British_Columbia">wikipedia</a> [with hat-tip to commenter &#8216;GG&#8217; at nfbpsh].</p>
<p><em>Price:Rent and Price:Income ratios suggest that BC housing is two to three times overvalued. The TotalHousingValue:GDP ratio supports those conclusions and, in fact, suggests that the overvaluation may be even greater.  It seems almost impossible to conceive, but this &#8216;third fundamental&#8217; suggests that housing values in BC could drop by about half and we&#8217;d still be as overvalued compared to GDP at the Irish were at the beginning of their collapse! Note, too, that the market &#8216;value&#8217; of housing in BC is likely underestimated as it makes use of property assessment values and we all know that housing in Vancouver is &#8216;worth&#8217; at least 25% more in current markets.<br />
There is absolutely no doubt regarding the existence of a massive bubble.<br />
How much more extreme can things get before we implode? &#8211; vreaa</em></p>
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