<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8" standalone="yes"?><oembed><version><![CDATA[1.0]]></version><provider_name><![CDATA[Yoshizen&#039;s Blog]]></provider_name><provider_url><![CDATA[https://yoshizen.wordpress.com]]></provider_url><author_name><![CDATA[yoshizen]]></author_name><author_url><![CDATA[https://yoshizen.wordpress.com/author/yoshizen/]]></author_url><title><![CDATA[Cognition &#8211; Expectation &#8211;&nbsp;Speculation]]></title><type><![CDATA[link]]></type><html><![CDATA[<p>When I wrote my thesis for the Sociology degree (gosh, 40 years ago), my theme was</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>“Lion was made with the seven deer he ate”</strong></span> = Our lives were based on the intake of not only the food</p>
<p>but also depend on the intake of the information. This pattern is common from the simplest mono-cell</p>
<p>organism to highly evolved animal like us and even a huge social organization or corporate.</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>What makes the difference of their degree of evolution is, how far the objective / projection is,</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong> in the time perspective = instant reaction to many years long-term development project.</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">[]</span></p>
<p>Until a mono-cell organism actually bumped a food or danger, they couldn&#8217;t react.</p>
<p>But the elephants may go to a water-hole they had seen 40 years ago when they got severe drought.</p>
<p>They expect to find it even beyond the weeks of walk.</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>And we (well, some of us) are experimenting about how Neutrino behave, for any possible </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>application of its use or knowledges for an unknown future. &#8212;&#8211; all depend on how much we </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>have the data to make a judgment and a decision-making.</strong></span></p>
<p>For my thesis, I made a frame-work to analyze the decision-making of the people, analyze the</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong> [Information sphere]</strong></span> of the people (in its group or social cluster) by their use of the words in comparison to</p>
<p>the use of the same words in the media &#8212;&#8211; such as the words “social class” were more often used by the people</p>
<p>who is reading the left-wing media = hence they are most likely to respond according to what media was suggesting.</p>
<p><span style="color:#ff0000;"><strong>(And this is what Google is doing now by picking the key-word in our Email !)</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">[]</span></p>
<p>Zen is suggesting to eliminate the useless thinking when we react or for decision-making. &#8212;&#8211; though, even when</p>
<p>our hand picks up a tea-cup, the position of the cup has been coordinated in the 3D sphere, hence our hand, each</p>
<p>bones and muscles are able to move correct direction and proper distance.</p>
<p>Our brain is projecting, if the hand moves in such way and so much, it would reaches to the cup, with an</p>
<p>assumption of the visual information from the eyes is correct.</p>
<p>Simply they has been done without we are noticing that we are processing the data.</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>&#8212;&#8211; So, the matter is how much is too much.   (Too much thinking read you to nowhere, yet if </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>literally no thinking at all,  our hand may not able to pick a teacup).</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ff0000;"><strong>In comparison to the expectation and speculation, cognition is mostly passive, but expectation</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ff0000;"><strong> is inflated with a wishful thinking or even a delusion.  This is where its trouble starts.</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">[]</span></p>
<p>Our human lives are based on the projected expectation.   Even when we were the hunter-gatherer, to go to</p>
<p>the beach was to pick the sea food. = they knew it&#8217;s there from the experiences or other&#8217;s direction.</p>
<p>So as the economic activities and its decision-makings are.  In here, the greed inflated wishful thinking comes in.</p>
<p>Spanish has expected, the English holiday maker and the retired rich would buy their holiday villa. = Hence they</p>
<p>invested so much money to build the holiday villa,  hotels etc. &#8212;&#8211; though, after Lehman shock,  all those</p>
<p>speculation busted. =<strong> trouble was, the money they invested was not their own money but the money </strong></p>
<p><strong>borrowed from the bank.</strong>   Not only the people working in the building industry and their supply chain but</p>
<p>whole economy collapsed, end up with 20% unemployment.</p>
<p>When the developer decided to build, it was the firm anticipation to expect pretty reasonable return of which</p>
<p>the bankers had the same anticipation, hence they rent the money.</p>
<p>Though, it was regarded to be a careless speculation, mistake they made. = therefore inevitable</p>
<p>consequence they are suffering now.</p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">[]</span></p>
<p>So, a funny question is, <span style="color:#000080;"><strong>what makes the difference between anticipation / expectation and the </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>speculation ? &#8212;&#8211; if it was right in the hind-sight, it was the expectation, and if it was wrong, </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>was it the speculation ?</strong></span> &#8212;&#8212;&#8212;- the trouble is, a famous speculator who made huge, huge money with</p>
<p>his speculation,  like George Soros, <strong> his speculation was proved to be right, hence he made money.</strong></p>
<p>&#8212;&#8211; was his speculation,  made by days of thinking / analysis,  or unknown kind of sheer hunch ?</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>So far I haven&#8217;t heard a story of Zen meditation made any money-making good speculation 😀</strong></span></p>
<p>And even though, my mother was so accurate to see the future,  still all the prediction about herself was not</p>
<p>correct (she expected her life may end 50 something though,  she lived much longer in her 80s)</p>
<p>What she taught me was,<span style="color:#000080;"><strong> even the Chinese I-chin, it wouldn&#8217;t work when the matter is related to the </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>own ego or greed. = Spiritualism and money-making can not go together.</strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">[]</span></p>
<p>In the cyber space, the information sphere is almost completely open.</p>
<p>We are no longer limited to a single view of the TYPE of media = theoretically, we can seek any information,</p>
<p>and to have free thinking and own judgment &#8212;&#8211; really ?</p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>Yet, the last barrier seems to be, our own EGO and the GREED.   Ego and the greed makes the </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>one&#8217;s view to very narrow scope, limiting it just to a money game, dropping all the view for the </strong></span></p>
<p><span style="color:#000080;"><strong>social implication.   Open mind is not only for new idea, but to see the world in every aspects.</strong></span></p>
<p>( If there was not such blind greed in the bankers or speculators, the economical mayhem which the world is</p>
<p>now facing, wouldn&#8217;t be there in the first place)</p>
<p><span style="color:#ffffff;">&#8212;</span></p>
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